報告書番号

585007

タイトル（和文）

地域経済データの開発その２－産業別就業者数の推計

タイトル（英文）

ESTIMATION OF REGIONAL ECONMIC DATA:PART 2 -EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY

概要 （図表や脚注は「報告書全文」に掲載しております）

当所では，地域経済モデルの開発を行っている。しかし，利用可能な地域経済データは少なく，地域経済の実態把握やモデル開発を行う上で障害となっている。そのため，５９年度より地域経済データの開発を始めた。本報告では，就業者数の推計手順と推計結果を示す。就業者数は県別，２５産業別に従業地ベースのものを昭和４５年以降について推計した。推計の基準となる資料は「国勢調査」であり，国勢調査年以外については「就業構造基本調査」「工業統計」などの関連諸統計を用いることにより，補間・補外した。

概要 （英文）

WE HAVE ALREADY PRESENTED THE ESTIMATION PROCEDURE FOR CAPITAL STOCK OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY AND SOCIAL OVERHEAD CAPITAL, AND COVERED THE COMPREHENSIVE REGIONAL FIGURES FOR THOSE DATA IN PART 1 OF ESTIMATION OF EEGIONAL ECONOMIC DATA. THIS REPORT, PART 2,DEALS WITH THE ESTIMATION PROCEDURE FOR REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT. THIS REPORT CONSISTS OF 5 CHAPTERS AND AN APPENDIX. IN CHAPTER 1, WE BRIEFLY SURVEY THE PRESENT SITUATION OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC DATA AND PRESENT STATUS OF REGIONAL ECONOMETRIC MODELING IN JAPAN. IN CHAPTER 2, THE IMPORTANCEOF REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT DATA IN THE REGIONAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS IS SHOWNAND PRESENT OUR ESTIMATION APPROACH. CHAPTER 3 DEALS WITH THE ESTIMATION PROCEDURE. WE PRESENT THE RESULTS OF ESTIMATION IN CHAPTER 4. CONCLUSIONS ARE DISCUSSED IN CHAPTER 5. OUR ESTIMATION APPROACH IS AS FOLLOWS;(1)EMPLOYMENT IS MEASURED ANNUALLY FROM 1970 TO 1982. (2)EMPLOYMENT ISMEASURED AT THE WORK PLACE NOT AT THE RESIDENCE. (3)INDUSTRY AND SERVICE ARE DIVIDED INTO 25 SECTORS. (4)AMOUNT OF EMPLOYMENT FOR 25 SECTORS IN CENSUS YEAR, I.E., 1970,1975 AND 1980 IS OBTAINED FROM THE POPULATION CENSUS. (5)IN NON CENSUS YEARS, WE ESTIMATE EMPLOYMENT BY USING INFORMATION DERIVED FROM THE RELATED STATISTICS SUCH AS THE CENSUS OF MANUFACTURING. (6)IN CASES OF CONFIDENTIAL DATA LIMMITING RELATED STATISTICS AND/OR THE RELATED STATISTICS IS NOT BEINGAVAILABLE ANNUALLY, WE ESTIMATED THE COMPLETE ANNUAL DATE. THE ESTIMATED FIGURES FOR EMPLOYMENT DATAARE QUITE PROMISING IN VIEW OF THE FOLLOWING FACTS. (1)IN THE PRIMARY SECTOR, EMPLOYMENT OF EACH REGION IS CONTINUOUSLY DECREASING. ALTHOUGH DURING RECESSIONARY PERIODS OF THE ECONOMY, THE RATE OF DECREASE DECLINES. (2)EMPLOYMENT IN THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR IS SLIGHTLY INCREASING IN EVERY REGION. HOWEVER, THE RATE OF INCREASE IS TENDING TO DECLINE. (3)IN THE MATERIALS INDUSTRY, EMPLOYMENT IS DECLINING, BUT ON THE OTHER HAND EMPLOYMENT OF THE ASSEMBLING MANUFA

報告者

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